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A GRAIN OF TRUTH

ADB to kick-start PPPs

Low productivity, ageing key challenges for Japan

Food security fears as supplies dwindle

Ten Asian risks to watch in 2008

business diary June/July 2008

FAST-TRACKING ASIA’S
INFRASTRUCTURE NEEDS

In a new programme that is ‘set to go’, the Asian Development Bank will bring new infrastructure proposals to bankable stage and provide political risk cover to encourage private sector participation. ADB Managing Director, Rajat Nag, says Asia needs to spend US$300 billion annually on infrastructure over the next 10 years.
China trims growth target - China’s policy emphasis is now on ‘sound but not fast’ growth’, says Vice Finance Minister, Li Yong.

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Rajat Nag, ADB Managing Director-General

   
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HIGHER INTEREST RATES, DOLLAR, OIL PRICES SLOW AUST.

MELBOURNE – In an update for the September quarter, ANZ Bank Economics & Markets Research says interest rates, a high Australian dollar and global oil prices will contribute to a sharp slowing in the overall pace of growth. State by State, ANZ says it has been expecting economic activity in New South Wales to begin to wilt under the headwinds of higher interest rates, high fuel costs and the high dollar — and that there are signs that this slowdown is now under way. In Victoria, a more challenging economic climate is exposing fragility. Queensland’s strong economic performance is set to continue, although, outside mining, there are some sectors which are labouring under the impact of higher interest rates and the high dollar. Western Australia will remain the nation’s economic powerhouse, though the combination of rising interest rates and petrol prices, the high dollar, the maturing of the housing cycle and recent disruption to the State’s gas supplies, suggests that some sectors of the economy will be doing it tougher than for many years. South Australia has moved up a gear to be at the pointy end of the ‘two-speed divide’, but this may prove to be short-lived. As elsewhere, growth in Tasmania is slowing and unemployment has crept up again, but on the whole, the economy looks to be navigating stormy waters relatively well. In the Northern Territory the stimulus from the resources boom will increasingly be offset by a tougher national and international trading environment, resulting in slowing growth (ATI).

INDIA'S GLENMARK ACQUIRES POLISH PHARMA BRANDS
AVITA MEDICAL TO REGISTER DEVICE IN CHINA
TSUJI HEAVY TO BUILD SECOND SHIPYARD IN CHINA
LG ELECTRONICS TO RELEASE 'IPHONE RIVAL' IN US
MALAYSIAN FIRM SET TO OPEN UNIVERSITY IN VIETNAM

WORLD EQUITY MARKETS LOST US$3 TRILLION IN JUNE: S&P

NEW YORK – According to Standard & Poor’s Senior Index Analyst, Howard Silverblatt, the world’s equity markets lost US$3 trillion in June as the global equity market declines that began in mid-May picked up pace, gaining negative momentum at the end of the month. Only three (all emerging) of the 52 markets were up in June - similar to the devastating month of January when 50 of the 52 markets lost ground and there was a lost of US$3.3 trillion. Emerging equity markets posted declines of 10.07% in June, 1.64% in the second quarter and 12.50% year-to-date. All of the developed markets fell in June, losing 8.18% for the month, 2.49% for the second quarter and 7.90% year-to-date (ATI).

 
e brief
 
business diary April/May 2008

INFLATION PRESSURES ASIA’S ECONOMIES

INFLATION IN VIETNAM reached a high of 19.4% in March, putting strains on both business and the social fabric. Inflation is biting in India, which fears a slowdown, and Korea which sees the spectre of 1997, too. We look at 10 Asian risks to watch in 2008.

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Kua Hong Pak, CEO of Singapore’s ComfortDelGro
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Storming through into 2008 – In our special ASIA2008 issue, we ask: What price sub-prime? The answer. No-one really knows.

The US sub-prime crisis leads our assessment of the outlook for Asian economies in 2008, also likely to be impacted by falling commodity prices, higher oil prices and fluctuating (in many cases, rising) currencies. Charles Dallara, Managing Director of the Institute of International Finance (IIF), private-sector equivalent to the IMF, provides valuable insight, together with a number of other leading economists and forecasters.

We look at the US-China relationship, where the US stands on freer world trade, the challenges for Asia in infrastructure needs, trends in foreign exchange deregulation and securitisation, and the inflation outlook. Also at the impact on foreign business of ongoing tax reforms in Asia.

ASIA2008 assesses challenge and opportunity in India, China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore, Malaysia, the Philippines, Indonesia, Thailand, Pakistan and Bangladesh.


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Australian Business Limited Panorama Hospitality
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August 14-15, 2008
Clean Energy & Power Generation 2008, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. From 2002-2030, energy demand in the APEC region is projected to increase nearly three-fold, growing at an annual rate of 2.1 per cent. Concurrently, the region’s indigenous resource supply is expected to decrease, resulting in an increase in net import dependence from 36 per cent in 2002 to 52 per cent in 2030. Asian nations are in a race to overcome burgeoning energy demand by looking to several channels of power generation to lessen dependence on fuel imports, while exploring all energy options to ensure a greener fuel mix. http://www.availcorp.com

October 16-17
Cards Asia 2008, Shanghai – jointly convened by Global Leaders Institute and Shanghai Finance (which is directly controlled by the People’s Bank of China), this conference examines the fastest-growing retail banking sector in Asia. At September 2007, cards on issue in China totalled 1.3 billion, and it is estimated that, by 2013, cards will become the second-largest retail banking service. Cards Asia discusses current market structure and analyses the main areas of technology investment, including market approach, risk management, intermediary business, technology standardisation initiatives, and pre-paid card technology. http://www.cards-asia.com

July 3-4, 2008
Asia-Pacific Marketing Power & Sell-Effectiveness (AMPS) - Property Sales and Marketing Conference, Venetian Hotel, Macau - For property sales and marketing professionals in an increasingly competitive property market, with no geographic sales boundaries, the opportunity to maximise profit is a constant challenge. Experts in marketing, direct sales, public relations and digital media offer key strategies and know-how. Register online at www.mtconferences.com/amps , call (852) 3575-8008 or email mwong@3c-ltd.com. Organised by Corporate Consumer Communications Ltd, organiser of the SMART Investment & International Property Expo since 2004.

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